Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has been approved by Labour’s National Executive Committee to seek selection as the party’s prospective representative in the Makerfield by-election, a significant race that could alter the political landscape at Westminster. The decision constitutes a significant reversal for Burnham, whose earlier bid to stand in a by-election in January was blocked by the same committee. If he wins selection and achieves success in the north-west constituency, the 57-year-old is commonly anticipated to mount a challenge against Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer for the party leadership. The by-election is planned for 18 June, after Labour MP Josh Simons’s announcement that he will step down to make way for Burnham’s return to Parliament.
The Journey Back to Parliament
Burnham’s route to Westminster is not straightforward. Under Labour Party rules, he cannot take part in a leadership contest unless he first becomes an MP, making the Makerfield selection essential to his career prospects. The timeline is demanding, with applications to become Labour’s candidate closing on Monday 18 May, with a selection meeting on 21 May. This tight timetable reflects the urgency surrounding the potential leadership challenge to Sir Keir Starmer, who remains resistant to mounting pressure from within his own party to stand aside.
Makerfield, traditionally a safe Labour stronghold, has presented a increasingly difficult electoral landscape in the past few years, with the constituency showing growing backing for Reform UK. Should Burnham secure the nomination, he will face a genuine contest to win the seat—a marked difference to the easy wins typically enjoyed by Labour candidates in this north-west seat. His campaign message stresses bringing “the change we have brought to Greater Manchester to the whole of the UK and make politics work properly for people,” seeking to position his candidacy as a fresh start for the party.
- Applications for candidacy deadline Monday 18 May
- Selection meeting scheduled for 21 May
- By-election anticipated on 18 June
- Makerfield has moved towards Reform UK in recent times
Leadership Conjecture and Party Friction
The political landscape at Westminster remains deeply divided following a turbulent week that has seen Sir Keir Starmer confront unprecedented pressure from within his own party. Nearly 90 Labour MPs have openly urged for the Prime Minister to resign, whilst five ministers have quit in objection at his leadership. Yet Starmer has shown no sign of capitulating to these demands, continuing to resist calls for him to declare a timetable for his exit. A formal leadership challenge cannot be triggered until a prospective candidate obtains the backing of 81 Labour MPs—a significant threshold that demonstrates the party’s attempts to prevent destabilising contests.
Burnham’s rise as a possible contender has highlighted the growing discontent within Labour ranks, with his selection in Makerfield widely interpreted as a strategic move to establish himself for a potential bid for leadership. The former Health Secretary’s choice to come back to Parliament signals that he intends to play a major role in determining the party’s course. However, the Prime Minister’s allies stay resolute, with Housing Secretary Steve Reed calling for the party to “take a breath” and refocus on serving the country. The tension between those pushing for reform and those supporting Starmer’s position indicates that Labour’s party divisions are nowhere near settled.
Further Potential Candidates Surface
Wes Streeting, the newly departed Health Secretary, has come forward as another potential leadership candidate, though he has refrained from openly stating his ambitions. On Thursday, when Streeting announced his departure, speculation mounted that he might mount a formal bid against Starmer. His allies have indicated he commands the support of the 81 Labour MPs needed to contest a leadership contest, establishing him as a viable alternative to the sitting Prime Minister. However, Streeting has called only for a “broad debate about the way forward,” maintaining deliberate ambiguity about his own ambitions.
The presence of several possible challengers highlights the scale of dissatisfaction within Labour’s parliamentary ranks and prompts inquiry about how a leadership contest might unfold. With both Burnham and Streeting possibly establishing themselves as challengers to Starmer’s leadership, the party faces the prospect of a damaging internal conflict. The Prime Minister’s resolve to maintain his position, paired with the rise of rival candidates, suggests that Labour’s leadership turmoil is unlikely to be resolved swiftly or without significant damage to party unity.
The Makerfield Initiative
Whilst Burnham’s appointment as Labour’s candidate is far from guaranteed, the Makerfield constituency poses a significant challenge of his political credentials. Historically a secure Labour seat, the region has shown troubling signs of slippage in recent years, with voters increasingly drawn towards Reform UK. The by-election scheduled for on 18 June, will function as an important measure of whether Burnham can rebuild relationships with working-class constituents who have drifted away from Labour. His campaign team will must confront genuine concerns about the party’s direction whilst at the same time positioning him as a credible alternative to Starmer’s leadership.
The timetable for Burnham’s candidacy is notably tight, with submissions due on Monday 18 May and the candidate selection event set for just three days later on 21 May. This compressed schedule reflects the urgency surrounding the by-election and the party’s desire to progress quickly towards the campaign proper. Burnham’s choice to stand for selection signals his confidence that he can persuade local party members, but victory is by no means assured. The area’s recent electoral unpredictability means that even success in the constituency would not necessarily result in a successful leadership challenge against an sitting Prime Minister resolved to fight for his position.
| Factor | Details |
|---|---|
| Seat Status | Traditionally safe Labour but recently leaning towards Reform UK |
| By-election Date | Expected to take place on 18 June 2024 |
| Selection Timeline | Applications close 18 May; selection meeting on 21 May |
| Political Context | Burnham must win seat to challenge Starmer under party rules |
- Burnham promised to extend Greater Manchester’s success to the whole country
- Local voters display increased backing for Reform candidates
- Victory would furnish Burnham with the parliamentary credentials essential to leadership ambitions
Party Splits and Widespread Frustration
Labour’s internal rifts have arrived at a pivotal moment following the party’s disastrous election performance, with around 90 MPs explicitly calling for Sir Keir Starmer’s departure. The growing pressure on the Prime Minister demonstrates significant frustration amongst rank-and-file MPs over the party’s path forward and electoral strategy. However, Starmer has remained steadfast in his rejection of a timetable for his departure, instead choosing to weather the storm and consolidate his position. This determination has further fuelled speculation about potential challengers, with Burnham positioning himself as the strongest alternative candidate in a position to command support from MPs and reshaping Labour’s narrative.
The party’s internal crisis has been worsened by ministerial resignations, with five prominent politicians stepping down in protest at the leadership’s management of recent events. Wes Streeting, the former health secretary, has been identified as another potential leadership candidate, though he has refrained from formally declaring his intention to challenge Starmer. The doubts concerning the party’s strategic path has created a vacuum that ambitious politicians like Burnham are keen to fill. With under 81 Labour MPs needed to trigger a formal leadership contest, the party faces an extraordinary stretch of instability that could determine its trajectory for years to come.
Senior Ministers Seek Stability
Members of the government have attempted to restore calm following the turbulent week of political upheaval. Steve Reed, the housing secretary and a trusted supporter of the Prime Minister, urged reflection and a renewed focus on serving the country. His measured response reflects an attempt by Starmer’s supporters to steady the ship and prevent additional government resignations. The government’s strategy seems focused on demonstrating competence and delivering on its policy agenda, hoping that tangible results will reduce internal discord and allow the party to progress past the current leadership turmoil.
What’s Next
The timetable for Burnham’s bid is now firmly established, with applications to become Labour’s official candidate closing on Monday, 18 May. A selection meeting will occur three days later on 21 May, where Labour members will choose between hopefuls competing for the chance to stand for Makerfield. The by-election itself is scheduled to occur on 18 June, providing a accelerated timeline that demonstrates the critical nature confronting Labour. This rapid schedule means Burnham will have to campaign intensively to win both the Labour nomination and success in what has historically been a secure Labour constituency.
Should Burnham secure the Makerfield seat, he would immediately become eligible to challenge Sir Keir Starmer for the leadership position. Under Labour Party rules, he currently cannot formally enter a leadership contest whilst serving as mayor, making parliamentary representation vital to his ambitions. With nearly 90 MPs already calling for Starmer’s resignation, Burnham would stand a good chance of securing the 81 endorsements required to initiate a formal leadership election. The Prime Minister, however, shows no signs of standing down voluntarily, indicating any contest would be hotly disputed and potentially divisive for the party.
- Applications shut 18 May; selection ballot set for 21 May
- By-election anticipated 18 June in the Makerfield constituency
- Success would make Burnham qualified to stand against Starmer for the leadership position
- 81 Labour MP backing required to formally trigger a leadership challenge